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Watch These UPS Stock Price Levels Following Earnings-Driven Plunge

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Watch These UPS Stock Price Levels Following Earnings-Driven Plunge

Key Takeaways

  • United Parcel Service shares dropped more than 12% on Tuesday after the shipping giant posted a steep decline in second-quarter profit and trimmed its outlook, as package deliveries normalize from pandemic-era highs.
  • UPS shares have broken down from a descending triangle, a chart pattern that indicates a continuation of the stock’s current downtrend.
  • Amid follow-through selling, UPS shares may encounter support at key chart levels including $125, 103, and $93.
  • A bars pattern that extracts the impulsive downtrend that precedes the descending triangle and positions it from the pattern’s lower trendline predicts a downside price target of around $100,

United Parcel Service (UPS) shares dropped 12% on Tuesday, hitting a four-year low, after the shipping giant posted a steep decline in second-quarter profit and trimmed its outlook, as package deliveries normalize from pandemic-era highs.

Amid the earnings-driven sell-off, we turn to technical analysis to identify important price levels on the UPS weekly chart to watch out for.

Breakdown From Descending Triangle

Since the 50-week moving average (MA) crossed below the 200-day MA to form an ominous death cross signal in December last year, UPS shares have traded within a textbook descending triangle. The pattern, which indicates a continuation of the stock’s current downtrend, comprises one trend line connecting a series of lower highs and a second horizontal trendline connecting a series of lows. 

Indeed, the delivery giant’s share price has staged a decisive breakdown from the pattern this week on above average trading volume following Tuesday’s earnings-driven drop, suggesting strong selling momentum behind the move.

Monitor These Levels Amid Follow-Through Selling

If follow-through selling continues, investors should monitor three important chart levels where the shares may encounter support.

Firstly, it’s worth keeping an eye on the $125 area, a high probability long-term support level near a horizontal line linking two prominent swing highs that formed between September 2018 and November 2019.

A failure to hold the above area could see the shares retrace to around $103, where investors may look for buying opportunities close to a trendline connecting several peaks and troughs from March 2018 to April 2020.

Finally, a more significant decline may see the stock revisit $93, a location on the chart that encounters support from three swing lows that played out between December 2018 and May 2020.

Interestingly, a bars pattern that extracts the impulsive downtrend that precedes the descending triangle and positions it from the pattern’s lower trendline predicts a downside price target of around $100, sitting within the range of the lower two support levels pointed out above.

UPS shares were down 0.3% at $127.32 in premarket trading Wednesday about two hours before the opening bell. The stock closed Tuesday at its lowest level since July 2020.

The comments, opinions, and analyses expressed on Investopedia are for informational purposes only. Read our warranty and liability disclaimer for more info.

As of the date this article was written, the author does not own any of the above securities.

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