Markets ‘Too Optimistic’ About Federal Reserve Interest-Rate Reductions in 2024: JPMorgan Asset Management

Expectations of lower rates became widespread as inflation receded in 2023 and the Fed hinted at a pivot to rate cuts at its December meeting. According to the Fed funds futures market, traders are anticipating 140 basis points of rate cuts this year, nearly double the amount signaled by the Fed’s interest-rate projections chart, the so-called dot plot, in December.